
Well, we're officially into 2025 now - which means it's GTA 6 launch year... if all goes to plan over at Rockstar. Yep, for now the game is simply slated to release sometime this year, and analysts have begun predicting just how lucrative a launch this could be for publisher Take-Two.
In an overview of GTA 6's money-making capabilities at the Financial Times, analysts at DFC Intelligence, a video games research group, have said that the game is "likely to exceed $1bn in pre-orders" prior to launch - which sounds like an absolutely absurd amount to us.
The same research group also believes that the game's year-one revenue could amount to roughly twice that of Grand Theft Auto V, with the GTA 6 number potentially reaching $3.2 billion of revenue in the first 12 months of sale. Crazy numbers, really.
Of course, it goes without saying that these are all projections for now - and most of us here could probably predict that GTA 6 will sell a silly amount of copies when it comes out. Still, it's interesting to attach these sorts of figures to a game that continues to feel like an absolute mystery at the turn of the year.
Even though these projections all look very favourable for Rockstar and Take-Two, the publisher's CEO has decided to stay calm and play things down a little bit here in this article. Strauss Zelnick tells FT "I never claim victory before it occurs" - which sounds like a sensible way to look at things, even if GTA 6 is almost guaranteed to be a huge success for the company.
What are your thoughts on these pre-release predictions for GTA 6 sales? Go ahead and crunch the numbers down below.
[source ft.com]
Comments 30
Don't pre-order digital games people. This is going to be live service heavy and will have a day one patch, and you KNOW the servers will be rammed and probably break. Wait for reviews, and to make sure you know what you're getting. Don't give them money until then.
Yep let’s see the reviews first and the performance.
Because I won’t touch this of it sticks to the rumoured 30fps.
If we don’t get a 60fps performance mode then it’s no GTA6 for me at launch.
I have 12tflops of series x and it’s not for 30fps that’s for sure.
I can believe the numbers but the game will have to be much better than GTA 5 for any of it to be from me.
Have never bought a GTA game and that's not going to change.
My history with the GTA series is an odd one. I played 3 and Vice City on PS2, then never touched the series again until a month ago. 5 was free, so I downloaded it just to see what it’s like now. What I was presented with was divisive.
The story and world and the sheer amount of detail and physics and things is pretty impressive, although the character models are stiff and poorly animated. That said, I’m having a blast with the story. And that’s where it ends.
Apparently you need to pay to play online(?), I’m not 100% sure. Either way, I immediately lost interest when I saw they do not segregate the achievement/trophy list into separate single player and multiplayer skus. I have no interest in online slop, and I bet the achievements are sketchy at best (all online dependent ones are; you’re either praying the stars align to fulfill some stupid arbitrary criteria or getting screwed over by some a-hole while you’re trying to work toward a goal). That immediately killed any and all desire I have to play this game ‘for real’ on my main account (for achievements/trophies). I won’t be buying GTA6 as they’ll likely have the same piss poor, gamer unfriendly setup as 5.
Can't wait for this game should be amazing but no point pre ordering on Xbox as they don't charge you till the day the game actually releases so it's pointless!
@Balaam_ I agree the story I'll play but not bothered to play the online portion it's just a bad live service game!
@Ricky-Spanish I probably won't pre-order until the week before it's release. The main reason is I like to preload games before they release so I don't have a massive download when the game goes live. Also, the new Xbox update that allows for preemptive downloads for updates means that a possible day one patch will already be installed by the time the game goes live.
Until we get closer to launch I'm not going to pre-order anything.
Well that's gross.
Just one of them games you gotta buy....will complete the story ..don't know about online ...didn't play much of 5 online but I used to play 4 online quite a lot ...will defo try to get into
@InterceptorAlpha
Yeah, before tax.
(I'm here all week)
I'm planning to wait them out for a sale maybe even a complete edition on sale. I'm not in a rush for this one, it will probably be at least 2027 by then lol.
@DoctorJohnDisco
Wow, so interested in other people. 😂
@OldGamer999 I'd say hopefully it will get a 60fps version eventually through update. I don't think it's going to be god's gift in terms of graphics but just a good looking game. If anything it will definitely eventually be 60fps on PS5 pro if not at launch if you happen to own one
@Ricky-Spanish
Definitely not great for series x if it doesn’t get 60fps and PS5 Pro does.
Who would have thought this at the start of 2024 one year ago.
Reading all these comments I'm pretty sure that 1 billion won't be coming from most of the readers here but there's no doubt people will be crazy when it launches. The amount of hype around GTA 6 is astronomical. If they can keep their satire which made this series amazing for me then I'll be buying it too.
Outside of this the online alone post launch over time is absolutely going to almost print money.
This is going to be a huge one for Rockstar but as someone who doesn't really bother with online I just hope they nail the single player campaign again.
Yet, so many claim it won't make any money at all.
Sometimes I think as gamers we expect the rest of the world to be gamers too. Absolutely zero chance of this getting 1billion in pre-orders lol. No chance.
Rockstar imo have waited too long. I'd disagree with some comments here, the hype is lackluster at best.
Friends and I used to love GTA series but no one I know is particularly bothered anymore about GTA. It's a tired franchise with nowhere to go.
Tech and expectations have moved on.
Maybe it's a British thing idk. Easy pass from me unless it goes free on GP, in which case I'll try it obviously.
Tbh am looking forward to Atomfall way more.
@jedinite Nah. That just you and your friends. The hype for 6 is real.
I stopped playing GTA after San Andreas. Played a bit of 4 and didn’t like it. Never even played 5, but if 6 has a great story I might consider it, 30 fps or not. Won’t be pre-ordering but I agree this game is going to go down in history as it will sell like crazy for the next 10 years. I just hope I will live to see RDR3 released (prefer it over GTA easily).
@stefan771 Those who claim that are idiots!
Honestly I think it would be bigger news if this WASN'T the biggest media release of all time, eclipsing GTAV's early dollar sales. There's just something inevitable about GTA and while that surely has to break at some point I don't think it's ready to happen yet.
@OldGamer999
Definitely not great for series x if it doesn’t get 60fps and PS5 Pro does
I don't know mate, conversely, it would be even worse if the PS5pro will not have 60fps. After all it's not the Series X sporting a pro tagline(including the price) console this gen.
But I suspect the pro will likely have a 60fps option, perhaps even the Series X, with some cutbacks.
@Sol4ris
It’s not really meant from the consoles point of view being honest.
More an overall brand point of view.
I mean did you see November 2024 console sales figures for Europe and worldwide it was embarrassing for Xbox consoles.
I get what Microsoft want to do, but it doesn’t mean the Xbox console can’t do good as well if they actually promoted it etc. I mean Xbox consoles have over 50% of GP subs, if they lose the console that 50% of GP subs is as good as gone.
Xbox did great console wise in December probably due to Indy game and now Microsoft have let stock run out in a lot of major UK stores.
They just don’t care about our beloved Xbox consoles anymore.
@Sol4ris
Please don’t take my comments the wrong way I’m Xbox at heart and have GPU until March 2027.
@OldGamer999
All good friend, I can see how some moves (or lack thereof) from Microsoft can be frustrating.
@Sol4ris
Hopefully we will get an Xbox showcase this month to set the first half of the year up.
But they are looking strong now.
As for Switch 2 time will tell. I think we will either get an amazing release day line up of games or an ok ish one, leaving us wondering what Nintendo in house studios have been doing all this time.
When GTA V launched on PS3/360 it took till the next generation until console performance really allowed it to run well. I hope VI is not the same story, although I suspect it may.
One the pre orders are not even available yet. Second it very likely to be a live service game.
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