We've seen another round of responses today from both Sony and Microsoft regarding the UK CMA's investigation into the ActiBlizz deal, and the new docs provide some pretty interesting insights into the two companies' strategies. Chief among which is a little hint from Microsoft at when we can all expect the next console generation to start.
Tucked into Microsoft's latest statement, the company says that it doesn't expect to launch a new console until the fall of 2028, with gaming generations typically coming around "every eight years" or so. (Thanks, VGC.)
"The Parties [Microsoft and Activision] do not dispute that some portion of gamers are likely to re-assess their console ownership at the start of a new generation,"
But they also note that this is an event that only occurs approximately every eight years [...] the next new generation of consoles are not expected to be released before the fall of 2028 at the very earliest."
If true, that'd make the current generation a year or so longer than the last one, as Xbox One and PlayStation 4 stuck around for seven years in total. Of course, that doesn't include the Xbox One X and PS4 Pro mid-gen upgrades; there's definitely a chance we could see something similar to those systems this generation.
We reckon eight or so years sounds about right, especially considering we've not yet moved on from the 'cross-gen' period during the current console cycle. We just hope that the many dev teams out there get chance to make use of the fantastic Xbox Series X and Series S hardware by 2028!
Does an eight-year console cycle sound about right to you? Let us know in the comments below.
[source assets.publishing.service.gov.uk, via videogameschronicle.com]
Comments 9
Sorry, has a new generation started πππ
At least it's confirmed.
They still can't get current gen consoles readily available. Why are they talking about next gen already?
I'm happy to hear that, and it's nice we don't have to go the "new console gen next year" rumor mill since they already said when they expect it and even that is their "very earliest".. No "switch pro" mess lol
If thats the case we will need a 2024 mid gen fresh βproβ model. That should give enough power to devs to play with for the more spec thirsty gamers and have the base models for those happy with the performance. I have cutting edge gear in video and Audio so performance matters to me and i would gladly sell my PS5 and Series X for the upgraded hardware. So far this gen is so behind and really not offering up much to play that shows off the hardware, that needs to change in a hurry in 2023 and outside of Forza, RedFall and Starfield look more like in between Xbox one and Series X. Not something that is like wow look at that video games have taken the next leap forward.
Current-gen hasn't even started yet! I honestly don't expect "current-gen" to actually start until 2024!
When I say that, I mean the majority of releases don't include X1 and PS4 as a factor.
I'd be willing to bet it will be the last console generation for both Microsoft and Sony, although Nintendo might release one more console around 2034. There are simply too many reasons from a business perspective to transition over to streaming game services β steady revenue, a larger audience, a lower consumer buy-in, greater control over online play, greater control over fan-made mods, etc. etc. β and the potential market by 2034 will be big enough for the likes of Microsoft and Sony to justify the change.
How about this generation starts before we start talking about next gen? We're about 2 years in and barely into double figures for games exclusive to this generation between both sides
Snake_V5 wrote:
Call me a sceptic but this was Microsoft's response to Sony's CMA document. While I do believe this is their current intent right now it can all change. I wouldn't believe either are 'confirmed' really, it's just too far away.
Any company that gets a console out a year before the other is potentially at a huge advantage. Look at X360 v PS3, look at PS4 Pro v Xbox One X. At the same time they have to balance this out with what consumers will pay for versus hardware power/cost, too soon can be a mistake too. A careful balance.
Previous gens were 4, 8 & 7 years for Xbox (5, 7, 7 for some territories) and 6, 6, 7, 7 for PS. Last gen also had a mid-gen upgrade.
An 8 year life cycle for ninth gen consoles is possible, especially with production/supply issues slowing it's start, but it's also a LOOONG wait for new hardware in todays fast moving tech world. I'd still bet on 7 unless there is a mid-gen upgrade. 8 years just seems too long to wait for new hardware.
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